nfl power rankings: perception vs. statistics...

[Aske]

dr. zzzzzz.  http://sportsillustrated....18/ranks.part1/index.html
peter sofa king  http://sportsillustrated....er_king/10/16/mmqb/1.html
espn conglom  http://sports.espn.go.com...ng?season=2006&week=7
pete crisco  http://www.sportsline.com/nfl/powerrankings
peter schlonger  http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/powerRankings


football outsiders http://www.footballoutsid...lings/dvoa-rankings/4409/


interesting.

[dystopia]

So the stats put the Chargers at the top and Colts at 13th.  The perception is pretty similar across the board.  Where do you fall?


This is damn funny....

To save people some time, please use the zlionsfan template for all complaints:

<team> is clearly ranked <too high/too low> because <reason unrelated to DVOA>. <subjective ranking system> is way better than this. <unrelated team-supporting or -denigrating comment, preferably with poor spelling and/or chat-acceptable spelling>

[Aske]

i think there's SOME value in both.

but i think #'s don't really lie... it's just how accurately they are calculated, and whether or not we INTERPRET them correctly.


i'm not gonna argue, for example the steelers are #1.  but I do think their defense is certainly top 10 if not top 5.   you wouldn't expect the #17/18 team in a power rankings list to have a top 5 defense, for example.


as for the colts,  they're 5-0, and rightly so. but they have yet to play a team with a great run offense, and a decent passing defense.   the #'s say they will lose when they do so.


the bears lost about 20% of their dvoa after the cards game... and while still a good team, the #'s brought them back somewhat to the back, and indicate sd  could well beat them... which one would certainly think if having watched both play.


the #'s for DVOA are most interesting in the transition to the 0% mark (and below)...   notice the cluster of teams from 10-0%,  but none from 0- -10 %.   the gap between the middle tier and bottom tier teams is huge... as is the gap from the tier to top 3 or 4  to the middle... which show  GREAT parity.... as one might expect.

 

[MP]

#32 Oakland Raiders (0-5)

brings tears to my eyes...