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March Madness Bracket Contest 2008

 
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Aske
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #210 on: March 23, 2008, 12:00:23 PM »


i'm liking my potential bigtime points from nova tomorrow though


Bastage!  Angry

now if miss. st  wins over memphis  i'll be feeling really good.
 Fingers Crossed Cheers
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Spanky
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #211 on: March 23, 2008, 02:36:05 PM »

I feel like a yoyo going up/going down. Looking at the max potential scores anyone is still in this, or at least it will be close.
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spacey
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #212 on: March 23, 2008, 06:58:14 PM »

Well, my bracket's officially *fudge*ed. Good luck stroh and 'fredo. May the best ho win.
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Aske
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #213 on: March 23, 2008, 07:08:05 PM »

wow, can't believe i'm still that close


go louisville over NC,   xavier over UCLA.

keep me alive !
 Devil
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Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
dystopia
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #214 on: March 24, 2008, 10:24:06 AM »

Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.

This new bracket obviously won't count for the contest, but is there merely to speculate on the performance of various strategies (making all risky picks, all chalk, etc.) and see how different strategies would fare.

I'm hoping that next year we can come up with a good scoring balance where either an upset-laden or conservative strategy looks appealing from the outset and it will just come down to how the games play out.
« Last Edit: March 24, 2008, 10:27:05 AM by dystopia » Logged Return to Top
Aske
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #215 on: March 24, 2008, 10:37:15 AM »

Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.

This new bracket obviously won't count for the contest, but is there merely to speculate on the performance of various strategies (making all risky picks, all chalk, etc.) and see how different strategies would fare.

I'm hoping that next year we can come up with a good scoring balance where either an upset-laden or conservative strategy looks appealing from the outset and it will just come down to how the games play out.

propose: seed multipler stays in place
propose: round multipliers change weight to be 1,2,4,8,16,32 - basically allowing each round to theoretically weight out more equally

results: those who gamble with early upsets are justly rewarded.  those who go all chalk aren't beat out by a pure upsets bracket that hits through with 1 team going to the elite 8.
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Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
dystopia
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #216 on: March 24, 2008, 03:28:51 PM »

Interesting.  So the scoring for the final four would look like this:

seed
#1 8 pts
#2 16 pts
#3 24 pts
#4 32 pts
#5 40 pts
#6 48 pts


One thing I just noticed.  If you look at the seeds of the past final fours, as expected, it's very stacked with the top seeds.  So you're really taking a risk when you pick a #5 seed or higher.


http://sportsline.com/col...em/history/finalfourseeds

2007   1, 1, 2, 2   Florida, Ohio State, Georgetown, UCLA
2006   2, 3, 4, 11   UCLA, Florida, LSU, George Mason
2005   1, 1, 4, 5   North Carolina, Illinois, Louisville, Michigan State
2004   1, 2, 2, 3   Duke, Connecticut, Oklahoma State, Georgia Tech
2003   1, 2, 3, 3   Texas, Kansas, Marquette, Syracuse
2002   1, 1, 2, 5   Maryland, Kansas, Oklahoma, Indiana
2001   1, 1, 2, 3   Duke, Michigan State, Arizona, Maryland
2000   1, 5, 8, 8   Michigan State, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin
1999   1, 1, 1, 4   Connecticut, Duke, Michigan State, Ohio State
1998   1, 2, 3, 3   North Carolina, Kentucky, Stanford, Utah
1997   1, 1, 1, 4   Kentucky, Minnesota, North Carolina, Arizona
1996   1, 1, 4, 5   Kentucky, Massachusetts, Syracuse, Mississippi State
1995   1, 2, 2, 4   UCLA, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma State
1994   1, 2, 2, 3   Arkansas, Arizona, Duke, Florida
1993   1, 1, 1, 2   North Carolina, Kentucky, Michigan, Kansas
1992   1, 2, 4, 6   Duke, Indiana, Cincinnati, Michigan
1991   1, 1, 2, 3   UNLV, North Carolin, Duke, Kansas
1990   1, 3, 4, 4   UNLV, Duke, Georgia Tech, Arkansas
1989   1, 2, 3, 3   Illinois, Duke, Seton Hall, Michigan
1988   1, 1, 2, 6   Arizona, Oklahoma, Duke, Kansas
1987   1, 1, 2, 6   UNLV, Indiana, Syracuse, Providence
1986   1, 1, 2, 11   Duke, Kansas, Louisville, LSU
1985   1, 1, 2, 8   St. John's, Georgetown, Memphis, Villanova
1984   1, 1, 2, 7   Kentucky, Georgetown, Houston, Virginia
1983   1, 1, 4, 6   Houston, Louisville, Georgia, N.C. State
1982   1, 1, 3, 6   North Carolina, Georgetown, Louisville, Houston
1981   1, 1, 2, 3   Virginia, LSU, North Carolina, Indiana
1980   2, 5, 6, 8   Louisville, Iowa, Purdue, UCLA
1979   1, 2, 2, 9   Indiana State, Michigan State, DePaul, Pennsylvania
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Seamus
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #217 on: March 24, 2008, 05:18:10 PM »

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Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.

Good to know that the  Air quotes test bracket  Air quotes is even kicking my ass this year.  Sad If Darla and Eagle pass me I may have to commit hara-kiri.  Shoot Head
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gleek
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E chu ta!

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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #218 on: March 27, 2008, 09:56:15 PM »

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Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.

Good to know that the  Air quotes test bracket  Air quotes is even kicking my ass this year.  Sad If Darla and Eagle pass me I may have to commit hara-kiri.  Shoot Head

You moved up nicely. Of course, Yoga Hottie's still going to kick your ass.
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dystopia
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #219 on: March 28, 2008, 06:38:59 AM »

I'm done. Sad  The slim hopes I had rested with Tennessee.
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Clive
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #220 on: March 28, 2008, 07:33:35 AM »

Quote
Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.
Good to know that the  Air quotes test bracket  Air quotes is even kicking my ass this year.  Sad If Darla and Eagle pass me I may have to commit hara-kiri.  Shoot Head
FWIW, I asked dystopia to "generate a bracket that picks the higher seed straight through EXCEPT (a) picks EVERY 11th and 12th all the way through to the Elite Eight; (b) pick the 12th seeded teams to make the Final Four; (c) I don't know, pick East and West to make the final (like Wicked Witches); and (d) pick the 12th-seed from the East to win."

I really didn't pay attention to the weighting thing, then I looked at it but didn't understand how it should factor into picking.  Just wondering how it compared to blindly gamble on EVERY 11th and 12th team v. trying to pick accurately all the way through v. picking chalk.  I'm curious like a cat.  My friends call me "Whiskers".
« Last Edit: March 28, 2008, 07:35:26 AM by Clive » Logged Return to Top
Seamus
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #221 on: March 28, 2008, 08:05:32 AM »

Quote
Just a heads up for anyone that's wondering why there's a new team in the cbs/sportsline group standings called "*test bracket-doesn't count*" in 4th place.

Good to know that the  Air quotes test bracket  Air quotes is even kicking my ass this year.  Sad If Darla and Eagle pass me I may have to commit hara-kiri.  Shoot Head

You moved up nicely. Of course, Yoga Hottie's still going to kick your ass.

Wow I'm actually stunned. I've even passed the yoga hot one by a few points. So I think I've passed all the chicks now except that SgifOn broad WhoTF is she?

I just want to say that this has been a very interesting way to do it this year, this weighting system is fun. At the end of day one I was in 1st place, and the end of day two I was in 19th place, and now I've slowly creeped back in to 11th, I'm pretty sure I was mathematically eliminated when I trusted some East coast schmuck on this board regarding the almighty power of the big (L)east conference, I fella so insane he gets his jollies from telling innocent people to hit alt/f4, but I digress, sorry, Go Carolina...Go UCLAn.
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Aske
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #222 on: March 28, 2008, 08:06:50 AM »

go 'ville, xavier, kansas.
 Devil
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Russia has invaded a sovereign neighboring state and threatens a democratic government elected by its people. Such an action is unacceptable in the 21st century.
--  Chimpy McFlightsuit, CEO of Bu$hco Industries of 'Merka
Spanky
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #223 on: March 28, 2008, 08:07:21 AM »

Hey you can go into chat now. At least you got that going for ya.
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stroh
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Re: March Madness Bracket Contest 2008
« Reply #224 on: March 29, 2008, 06:42:55 AM »

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